Austin Ekeler Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Austin Ekeler

NFL · Player Props

Austin Ekeler

RB · Los Angeles Chargers

Rushing TD

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 14, 2022 3:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Austin Ekeler Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+160/-210).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 64.0 plays per game.
Austin Ekeler has been given 63.0% of his offense's red zone rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.
Austin Ekeler has rushed for 0.75 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest marks in football among running backs (95th percentile).
The Los Angeles Chargers have gone for it on 4th down 27.6% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-most in football), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

Favors Under

The Chargers are a giant 7.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 3rd-least run-oriented team in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 35.8% red zone run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to call the 2nd-least total plays among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year at run-game blocking.
The San Francisco 49ers safeties rank as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

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