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Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Washington Commanders vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Austin Ekeler Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to run the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • In this week's game, Austin Ekeler is predicted by the model to find himself in the 84th percentile among RBs with 3.3 targets.
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Commanders ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.
  • With a terrific 3.0 adjusted catches per game (85th percentile) this year, Austin Ekeler rates as one of the top RB receiving threats in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is suggested by the Commanders being a 3-point favorite in this game.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Commanders to pass on 50.8% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game versus the Panthers defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.
  • Austin Ekeler has run fewer routes this season (43.5% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last season (56.4%).

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