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Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

New York Jets vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Austin Ekeler Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-166/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -166.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to call the 4th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.1 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • This week, Austin Ekeler is projected by our trusted projection set to land in the 99th percentile when it comes to RBs with 6.5 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Chargers offensive strategy to skew 2.4% more towards the run game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Kellen Moore now calling the plays.
  • This week's line suggests a rushing game script for the Chargers, who are favored by 3 points.
  • The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers as the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 59.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the New York Jets, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 34.0 per game) this year.
  • Austin Ekeler's 20.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 27.0.

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