Austin Ekeler Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Austin Ekeler

NFL · Player Props

Austin Ekeler

RB · Los Angeles Chargers

Receptions

Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM EST

Analysis

Austin Ekeler Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+130/-170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +140 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 10th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Austin Ekeler to notch 7.3 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 99th percentile among running backs.
Austin Ekeler has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 19.1% this year, which ranks him in the 99th percentile among RBs.
Austin Ekeler's play as a receiver has gotten a boost this year, accumulating 6.8 yards per game compared to a measly 4.3 last year.
Austin Ekeler's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Completion% jumping from 78.4% to 93.3%.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the 11th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 64.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
The Cleveland Browns linebackers grade out as the 3rd-best LB corps in football this year in pass coverage.
The Cleveland Browns defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.42 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 8th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

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