My Account Log Out
 
 
Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Austin Ekeler Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Chargers are a giant 7.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 67.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 64.0 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Austin Ekeler to earn 9.0 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 100th percentile among running backs.
  • Austin Ekeler has been a much bigger part of his team's passing offense this season (20.7% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (14.8%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to call the 2nd-least total plays among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.
  • The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has given up the 4th-lowest Completion% in football (71.6%) vs. RBs this year (71.6%).
  • The San Francisco 49ers linebackers rank as the 4th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™