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Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears

Austin Ekeler Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may drop-off.

The leading projections forecast Austin Ekeler to accumulate 3.4 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to RBs.

When talking about pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Commanders ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year.

Austin Ekeler ranks as one of the top pass-game RBs this year, averaging an excellent 33.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 95th percentile.

Austin Ekeler's possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 72.2% to 100.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Commanders as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 52.5% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect this game to play at the 11th-worst pace out of all the games this week, averaging 26.88 seconds per play accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

When it comes to air yards, Austin Ekeler grades out in just the 9th percentile among running backs this year, with just -5.0 per game.

Austin Ekeler's 14.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 19.8.

The Chicago Bears pass defense has shown strong efficiency vs. running backs this year, giving up 4.88 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-fewest in the NFL.

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