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Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Washington Commanders vs Carolina Panthers

Austin Ekeler Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to run the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

In this week's game, Austin Ekeler is predicted by the model to find himself in the 84th percentile among RBs with 3.3 targets.

As it relates to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Commanders ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

Austin Ekeler's 39.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season marks a material growth in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 31.0 mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Commanders being a 3-point favorite in this game.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Commanders to pass on 50.8% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Opposing teams have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game versus the Panthers defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.

Austin Ekeler has run fewer routes this season (43.5% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last season (56.4%).

When it comes to air yards, Austin Ekeler ranks in the measly 14th percentile among running backs this year, accruing just -6.0 per game.

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