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Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Cincinnati Bengals vs Washington Commanders

Austin Ekeler Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-131/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -131.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Commanders being an enormous -7-point underdog in this game.

The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

In this week's game, Austin Ekeler is predicted by the projection model to find himself in the 86th percentile among RBs with 4.0 targets.

With an impressive 13.8% Target Rate (93rd percentile) since the start of last season, Austin Ekeler stands among the pass-game running backs with the biggest workloads in the NFL.

With an exceptional 30.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (97th percentile) since the start of last season, Austin Ekeler places among the best pass-catching running backs in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Commanders to pass on 54.2% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest clip among all teams this week.

To the extent of a defense's influence on pace, at 28.69 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 4th-slowest in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment.

Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Bengals, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (a mere 32.2 per game) since the start of last season.

Austin Ekeler has accumulated a puny -4.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 5th percentile when it comes to running backs.

With a subpar 73.7% Adjusted Catch% (20th percentile) since the start of last season, Austin Ekeler places among the least sure-handed receivers in football when it comes to RBs.

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