Austin Ekeler Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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Austin Ekeler

NFL · Player Props

Austin Ekeler

RB · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 19, 2022

Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM UTC

Analysis

Austin Ekeler Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-175/+145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -175 before it was bet up to 43.5 @ -175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 67.7% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Austin Ekeler to garner 7.1 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 100th percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

Austin Ekeler has accrued significantly fewer air yards this year (-6.0 per game) than he did last year (9.0 per game).
Austin Ekeler's pass-game effectiveness has tailed off this season, totaling just 5.87 yards-per-target compared to a 7.39 rate last season.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-quickest in the league since the start of last season.

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