Austin Ekeler Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Austin Ekeler

NFL · Player Props

Austin Ekeler

RB · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 12, 2022 3:04 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Ekeler Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-115/-119).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ -119.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 10th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 62.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 65.4 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Austin Ekeler to notch 5.5 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 97th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

The Chargers are a 3.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has shown strong efficiency versus RBs since the start of last season, yielding 5.51 yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-least in the league.
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has been quite strong when opposing RBs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 6.22 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 7th-least in the NFL.

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