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Austin Ekeler
NFL · Player Props
Austin Ekeler
RB · Los Angeles Chargers
Receiving TD
San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 10, 2022 Updated Nov 14, 2022 1:06 AM UTC
NFL Props Austin Ekeler Receiving TD

Austin Ekeler Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+206/-319).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +261 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +206.

Favors Over
  • The Chargers are a giant 7.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 64.0 plays per game.
  • Austin Ekeler has been a key part of his team's passing attack near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 21.1% this year, which ranks in the 97th percentile among RBs.
  • Austin Ekeler's 28.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the league leaders: 98th percentile for RBs.
  • Austin Ekeler's receiving reliability have improved this year, with his Completion% rising from 78.4% to 90.9%.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to call the 2nd-least total plays among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.
  • Austin Ekeler has accrued far fewer air yards this season (-10.0 per game) than he did last season (9.0 per game).
  • The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has given up the 4th-lowest Completion% in football (71.6%) vs. RBs this year (71.6%).
  • The San Francisco 49ers defense has yielded the least passing TDs in football to running backs: 0.00 per game this year.
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