My Account Log Out

reorder

Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler Carries
Player Prop Week 9

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders

Austin Ekeler Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Commanders are favored this week, suggesting more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.

The leading projections forecast the Commanders to be the 3rd-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 47.6% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The Washington Commanders have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 59.0 plays per game.

This week, Austin Ekeler is expected by the model to place in the 82nd percentile among running backs with 16.1 rush attempts.

While Austin Ekeler has garnered 19.0% of his offense's carries in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more integral piece of Washington's rushing attack this week at 52.3%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.

The Giants defensive tackles project as the best group of DTs in football this year when it comes to run defense.

More Austin Ekeler Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™