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Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler Carries
Player Prop Week 5

Washington Commanders vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Austin Ekeler Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -141 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Washington Commanders to run on 48.2% of their downs: the 4th-highest frequency on the slate this week.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of an emphasis on throwing than their usual game plan.
  • Right now, the 6th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Commanders.
  • Austin Ekeler has been a less important option in his offense's run game this year (13.8% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (54.4%).
  • The Cleveland Browns linebackers profile as the 4th-best group of LBs in the NFL this year with their run defense.

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