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Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler Carries
Player Prop Week 2

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants

Austin Ekeler Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Commanders are favored this week, suggesting more of a focus on running than their usual approach.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Washington Commanders to run on 49.4% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

The projections expect the Commanders offense to be the 8th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.27 seconds per snap.

Washington's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially propped up a bit (and rushing stats too low) on account of playing the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL. We figure to be able to count on some regression with windier conditions in this game.

The New York Giants linebackers project as the 3rd-worst collection of LBs in football since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

While Austin Ekeler has received 50.6% of his offense's carries in games he has played since the start of last season, the leading projections forecast him to be a much smaller part of Washington's rushing attack in this week's game at 15.3%.

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