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Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler Carries
Player Prop Week 10

Los Angeles Chargers vs Detroit Lions

Austin Ekeler Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-121/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -131 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -121.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers offense to tilt 2.1% more towards the ground game than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Kellen Moore now calling the plays.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the predictive model to have 130.4 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week.

Among all RBs, Austin Ekeler ranks in the 87th percentile for carries this year, accounting for 53.8% of the workload in his team's running game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Chargers to be the 3rd-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 36.8% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Chargers offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in football last year at blocking for rushers.

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