Austin Ekeler Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 7

reorder

NFL · Player Props

Austin Ekeler

RB · Los Angeles Chargers

Carries

Los Angeles Chargers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Austin Ekeler Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+106/-139).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chargers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 64.5 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Austin Ekeler to accrue 13.2 rush attempts this week, on average, putting him in the 79th percentile among running backs.
Austin Ekeler has earned 56.4% of his offense's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 36.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Los Angeles Chargers offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year at opening holes for rushers.
The Los Angeles Chargers have faced a stacked the box on 18.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box vs. opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.