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Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler Carries
Player Prop Week 4

Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Austin Ekeler Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-145/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Chargers are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 67.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 61.0 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Austin Ekeler to garner 13.1 rush attempts in this game, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile among RBs.
  • Austin Ekeler has received 55.2% of his team's rush attempts this year, ranking in the 87th percentile among RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 8th-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 37.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have faced a stacked the box on 18.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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