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Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler Carries
Player Prop Week 3

Los Angeles Chargers vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Austin Ekeler Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Chargers are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects Austin Ekeler to accrue 13.1 carries in this contest, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.

Austin Ekeler has received 54.9% of his offense's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 87th percentile among running backs.

The Los Angeles Chargers offensive line grades out as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defensive ends rank as the 2nd-worst collection of DEs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 3rd-least run-oriented team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 34.5% run rate.

Opposing offenses have played at the 9th-slowest pace in football (adjusted for context) against the Los Angeles Chargers defense since the start of last season, averaging 28.59 seconds per snap.

The Los Angeles Chargers have gone up against a stacked the box on 18.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have stacked the box versus opponents on 22.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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