Austin Ekeler Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Austin Ekeler

NFL · Player Props

Austin Ekeler

RB · Los Angeles Chargers

Carries

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 16, 2022 3:00 AM UTC

Analysis

Austin Ekeler Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 5th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 65.3 plays per game.
The Los Angeles Chargers have played in the 4th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to mean lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game performance when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.
THE BLITZ projects Austin Ekeler to garner 12.5 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among RBs.
Austin Ekeler has received 59.9% of his offense's rush attempts since the start of last season, ranking him in the 91st percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

The Chargers are a 4-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 35.8% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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