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Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler Carries
Player Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Chargers vs Miami Dolphins

Austin Ekeler Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers offense as the 4th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.40 seconds per play.

Austin Ekeler has earned 58.0% of his offense's carries this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among running backs.

The Los Angeles Chargers have gone for it on 4th down 27.6% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-most in the league), which generally means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chargers are a 3.5-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 3rd-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 32.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Los Angeles Chargers O-line grades out as the 5th-worst in the league this year at opening holes for runners.

The Miami Dolphins defensive ends profile as the 2nd-best DE corps in the league this year with their run defense.

More Austin Ekeler Player Props

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