Austin Ekeler Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Austin Ekeler

NFL · Player Props

Austin Ekeler

RB · Los Angeles Chargers

Carries

Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Austin Ekeler Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers offense as the 4th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 26.43 seconds per snap.
Austin Ekeler has received 58.4% of his team's rush attempts this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among running backs.
The Los Angeles Chargers have risked going for it on 4th down 27.6% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-most in football), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 32.0% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Los Angeles Chargers O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in football this year in run blocking.
The Las Vegas Raiders defensive ends profile as the 5th-best unit in the league this year with their run defense.
The Los Angeles Chargers have faced a stacked the box on 18.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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