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Austin Ekeler Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-135/+105).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers offense as the 4th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 26.43 seconds per snap.Austin Ekeler has received 58.4% of his team's rush attempts this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among running backs.The Los Angeles Chargers have risked going for it on 4th down 27.6% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-most in football), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 32.0% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.The Los Angeles Chargers O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in football this year in run blocking.The Las Vegas Raiders defensive ends profile as the 5th-best unit in the league this year with their run defense.The Los Angeles Chargers have faced a stacked the box on 18.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
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