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Austin Ekeler Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+100/-130).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -130.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.3 plays per game.THE BLITZ projects Austin Ekeler to accumulate 13.1 carries this week, on average, placing him in the 75th percentile among running backs.Austin Ekeler has earned 58.9% of his team's carries this year, placing him in the 90th percentile among running backs.The Arizona Cardinals linebackers grade out as the 2nd-worst collection of LBs in the league this year with their run defense.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 34.7% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.The Los Angeles Chargers offensive line profiles as the 6th-worst in the league this year at opening holes for runners.The Los Angeles Chargers have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-most in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
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