Ashton Dulin Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

NFL · Player Props

Ashton Dulin

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receptions

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Ashton Dulin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+140/-180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +150 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Colts to call the 6th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Ashton Dulin to be much more involved in his team's passing offense this week (15.3% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (5.3% in games he has played).
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has surrendered the highest Completion% in the NFL (74.8%) to wide receivers since the start of last season (74.8%).
The Jacksonville Jaguars cornerbacks rank as the 7th-worst unit in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.
The Indianapolis Colts O-line has given their quarterback 2.63 seconds before the pass (9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 8th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have played in the 9th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which should result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing offense performance when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.
Opposing QBs have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in the league.
Ashton Dulin has been among the bottom pass-catching WRs since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 1.0 receptions per game while ranking in the 17th percentile among wide receivers.
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.