Ashton Dulin Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Ashton Dulin

NFL · Player Props

Ashton Dulin

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Ashton Dulin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Colts are a 4.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in football.
Ashton Dulin has been among the most effective receivers in football, averaging a terrific 10.65 yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 81st percentile among wideouts.
The Kansas City Chiefs defense has surrendered the 6th-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (162.0) versus wideouts since the start of last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 59.8% pass rate.
The weather report calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
Ashton Dulin has run a route on 23.5% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, placing him in the 13th percentile among wide receivers.
Ashton Dulin has been among the weakest WRs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 17.0 yards per game while checking in at the 25th percentile among wide receivers.
The Kansas City Chiefs cornerbacks grade out as the 9th-best unit in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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