Antonio Gibson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Antonio Gibson

NFL · Player Props

Antonio Gibson

RB · Washington Commanders

Rushing Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Washington Commanders · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 3:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Antonio Gibson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 44.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

While Antonio Gibson has received 16.7% of his team's rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more integral piece of Washington's running game in this game at 52.1%.
With a remarkable rate of 3.46 yards after contact (90th percentile), Antonio Gibson has been as one of the most effective RBs in football this year.

Favors Under

A throwing game script is suggested by the Commanders being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Washington Commanders to run on 33.8% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.
Right now, the 8th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Commanders.
The Washington Commanders O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL last year at blocking for the run game.
Antonio Gibson's 15.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year shows an impressive decline in his rushing ability over last year's 35.0 mark.

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