Antonio Gibson Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Antonio Gibson

NFL · Player Props

Antonio Gibson

RB · Washington Commanders

Rushing TD

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Antonio Gibson Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+170/-220).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 126.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Antonio Gibson has earned 75.0% of his team's red zone rush attempts since the start of last season, ranking him in the 97th percentile among RBs.
Antonio Gibson has rushed for 0.44 touchdowns per game on the ground since the start of last season (on average), one of the highest marks in the league among RBs (89th percentile).
Opposing offenses have run for the 5th-most TDs in football (1.11 per game) against the Philadelphia Eagles defense since the start of last season.
The Philadelphia Eagles defensive tackles project as the worst collection of DTs in the league since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.

Favors Under

The Commanders are a 6-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
The Commanders have been the 9th-least run-oriented team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) since the start of last season with a 29.4% red zone run rate.

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