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Antonio Gibson

Antonio Gibson Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Antonio Gibson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Commanders are a 6-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 62.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 126.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Antonio Gibson to garner 3.3 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 80th percentile among RBs.
  • Antonio Gibson has been an integral part of his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 11.5% since the start of last season, which places him in the 89th percentile among RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.40 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 7th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • The Washington Commanders have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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