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Antonio Gibson

Antonio Gibson Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Washington Commanders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Antonio Gibson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+134/-183).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -183.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 7th-fastest paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 26.90 seconds per play.

Antonio Gibson has been an integral part of his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 10.9% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 87th percentile among running backs.

The Washington Commanders offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

Antonio Gibson has been among the top RB receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 2.6 receptions per game while grading out in the 82nd percentile.

The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers project as the 9th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Commanders are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 11th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 56.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in football.

The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has yielded the 4th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (73%) vs. running backs since the start of last season (73.0%).

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

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