The Commanders boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and the model projects their pass/run mix to lean 13.9% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to pass on 64.9% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest clip on the slate this week.The Patriots defense has been something of pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (37.9 per game) this year.The leading projections forecast Antonio Gibson to garner 3.3 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 80th percentile when it comes to RBs.Antonio Gibson has put up a colossal 2.0 air yards per game this year: 83rd percentile among running backs. (This may not sound like very many, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage).
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