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Antonio Gibson
NFL · Player Props
Antonio Gibson
RB · Washington Commanders
Receiving Yards
Washington Commanders vs Buffalo Bills · Week 3, 2023 Updated Sep 24, 2023 11:26 PM UTC
NFL Props Antonio Gibson Receiving Yards

Antonio Gibson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -118.

Favors Over
  • The Washington Commanders will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 9.8% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • The Commanders are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Washington Commanders have called the 3rd-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 62.2 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Antonio Gibson to accrue 3.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 91st percentile among running backs.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Commanders to run the 4th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Buffalo Bills defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in the league.
  • The Washington Commanders offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • The Buffalo Bills pass defense has shown strong efficiency versus running backs since the start of last season, surrendering 5.44 yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-least in the NFL.
  • The Buffalo Bills linebackers grade out as the 10th-best group of LBs in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.
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