Antonio Gibson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Antonio Gibson

NFL · Player Props

Antonio Gibson

RB · Washington Commanders

Receiving Yards

Washington Commanders vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 17, 2023

Updated Jan 1, 2024 12:56 AM EST

Analysis

Antonio Gibson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-121/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -14-point disadvantage, the Commanders are huge underdogs in this week's game, implying much more of a focus on throwing than their typical approach.
The leading projections forecast the Washington Commanders as the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 67.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game vs. the 49ers defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
The projections expect Antonio Gibson to accrue 4.1 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 84th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Antonio Gibson has been an integral part of his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 10.3% this year, which places him in the 79th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Favors Under

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see just 125.3 total plays run: the fewest among all games this week.
The 49ers linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best unit in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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