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Antonio Gibson

Antonio Gibson Carries
Player Prop Week 6

New England Patriots vs Houston Texans

Antonio Gibson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the New England Patriots as the 3rd-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 49.6% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 127.8 offensive plays called: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.

This week, Antonio Gibson is expected by the projection model to find himself in the 92nd percentile among RBs with 17.8 rush attempts.

The leading projections forecast Antonio Gibson to be a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this week (55.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (24.2% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A passing game script is implied by the Patriots being a -4.5-point underdog in this game.

The Texans linebackers grade out as the 3rd-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

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