Antonio Gibson Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Antonio Gibson

NFL · Player Props

Antonio Gibson

RB · Washington Commanders

Carries

Los Angeles Rams vs Washington Commanders · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Antonio Gibson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

While Antonio Gibson has received 16.7% of his team's rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more integral piece of Washington's running game in this game at 52.1%.

Favors Under

A throwing game script is suggested by the Commanders being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Washington Commanders to run on 33.8% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.
Right now, the 8th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Commanders.
The Washington Commanders O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL last year at blocking for the run game.
The Los Angeles defensive tackles rank as the 5th-best unit in football this year with their run defense.

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