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Antonio Gibson

Antonio Gibson Carries
Player Prop Week 1

Washington Commanders vs Arizona Cardinals

Antonio Gibson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Commanders are a heavy 7-point favorite in this week's game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 9th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 44.3% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 6th-quickest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 27.73 seconds per snap.

Antonio Gibson has been given 32.7% of his team's carries since the start of last season, ranking him in the 75th percentile among running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Washington Commanders will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 9.7% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).

The Washington Commanders O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.

The Arizona Cardinals safeties grade out as the 3rd-best group of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

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