Antonio Gibson Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Antonio Gibson

NFL · Player Props

Antonio Gibson

RB · Washington Commanders

Carries

Washington Commanders vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 7:38 PM UTC

Analysis

Antonio Gibson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-102/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Commanders are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
The Commanders rank as the 3rd-most run-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 40.9% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 7th-fastest paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 26.90 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Antonio Gibson to accrue 15.3 rush attempts in this game, on average, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among RBs.
Antonio Gibson has been given 65.2% of his team's carries since the start of last season, ranking in the 93rd percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

The Jacksonville Jaguars have stacked the box versus opponents on 22.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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