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Anthony Richardson

Anthony Richardson Carries
Player Prop Week 1

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

Anthony Richardson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts to be the 6th-most run-focused offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 42.3% run rate.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 133.2 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.

The Colts have run the 10th-most plays in football last year, averaging a staggering 59.9 plays per game.

The leading projections forecast Anthony Richardson to accumulate 8.5 carries in this game, on balance: the 5th-most out of all quarterbacks.

The projections expect Anthony Richardson to be a much bigger part of his offense's ground game this week (29.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been last year (21.4% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.

The Houston Texans defensive ends profile as the 6th-best DE corps in the league last year in regard to run defense.

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