Anthony Richardson Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Anthony Richardson

NFL · Player Props

Anthony Richardson

QB · Indianapolis Colts

Carries

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Richardson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Indianapolis Colts boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Shane Steichen, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.9% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 4th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 46.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Colts to run the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 60.3 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Anthony Richardson to earn 8.9 rush attempts in this week's game, on average: the 3rd-most of all quarterbacks.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Anthony Richardson to be much less involved in his offense's running game this week (28.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (38.5% in games he has played).

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