Anthony Firkser Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Anthony Firkser

NFL · Player Props

Anthony Firkser

TE · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 3:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Anthony Firkser Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-119).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -119.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 7th-most in football.
The Atlanta Falcons O-line grades out as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
Anthony Firkser's receiving reliability have gotten better this season, with his Completion% increasing from 79.3% to 82.5%.
Anthony Firkser's pass-catching efficiency has gotten a boost this season, averaging 10.28 yards-per-target vs just 6.45 figure last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 49.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 52.8 plays per game.
Anthony Firkser has been used less as a potential target this year (24.9% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (50.4%).
Anthony Firkser has put up quite a few less air yards this year (8.0 per game) than he did last year (17.0 per game).

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