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Andy Dalton

Andy Dalton Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Seattle Seahawks vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Andy Dalton Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 10th-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 44.6% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 10th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 27.52 seconds per snap.
  • THE BLITZ projects Andy Dalton to be a more important option in his team's run game this week (9.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (4.3% in games he has played).
  • The Carolina Panthers offensive line ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.
  • Opposing squads have run for the 3rd-most yards in football (146 per game) vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Carolina Panthers will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 6.5% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • The Panthers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Andy Dalton to total 2.7 rush attempts in this week's game, on average: the 7th-least of all quarterbacks.
  • Andy Dalton has picked up just 4.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the smallest figures in the NFL among quarterbacks (11th percentile).

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