Andy Dalton Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

NFL · Player Props

Andy Dalton

QB · New Orleans Saints

Passing Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs New Orleans Saints · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 21, 2022 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Andy Dalton Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 212.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 216.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 212.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New Orleans Saints will be forced to start backup QB Andy Dalton in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The New Orleans Saints offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
The Arizona Cardinals defense has struggled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 7.44 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 5th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 34.2 pass attempts per game against the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 10th-least in football.
Andy Dalton has been among the weakest quarterbacks in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging 183.0 yards per game while grading out in the 24th percentile.
Andy Dalton has been among the least efficient passers in the league this year, averaging a lowly 6.53 yards-per-target while grading out in the lowly 24th percentile.
The Arizona Cardinals defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.