Andy Dalton Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Andy Dalton

NFL · Player Props

Andy Dalton

QB · New Orleans Saints

Pass Attempts

New Orleans Saints vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 20, 2022 8:21 PM EST

Analysis

Andy Dalton Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-122/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New Orleans Saints will be forced to start backup quarterback Andy Dalton in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 7th-least pass-centric offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 57.3% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 127.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Andy Dalton to attempt 30.6 passes in this contest, on average: the 7th-least of all quarterbacks.
The Los Angeles Rams have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 5.9% of their plays since the start of last season, least in football. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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