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Andy Dalton

Andy Dalton Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 10

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Andy Dalton Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New Orleans Saints will be starting backup QB Andy Dalton in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 6th-most in football.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box vs. opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Andy Dalton to attempt 25.5 passes in this game, on average: the 6th-least of all quarterbacks.
  • The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on just 2.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in football). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.
  • The New Orleans Saints have elected to go for it on 4th down a mere 14.3% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league), which generally means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.

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