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Andy Dalton

Andy Dalton Interceptions
Player Prop Week 8

New Orleans Saints vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Andy Dalton Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-141/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New Orleans Saints will be forced to utilize backup QB Andy Dalton in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 9th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 27.79 seconds per play.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Andy Dalton has averaged 1.04 interceptions per game this year, ranking in the 14th percentile among QBs.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have intercepted 0.55 passes per game this year, grading out as the 9th-worst defense in football by this stat

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 10th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 57.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Andy Dalton to attempt 33.8 passes this week, on average: the 10th-least of all QBs.
  • The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in the league). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.
  • The New Orleans Saints have gone for it on 4th down a measly 14.3% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league), which typically means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.

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