Andy Dalton Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

NFL · Player Props

Andy Dalton

QB · New Orleans Saints

Interceptions

New Orleans Saints vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:20 PM UTC

Analysis

Andy Dalton Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-225/+150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -180 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -225.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Saints are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Andy Dalton to attempt 37.4 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 7th-most of all quarterbacks.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game against the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the NFL.
Andy Dalton has thrown 1.13 interceptions per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 3rd percentile among quarterbacks.

Favors Under

The New Orleans Saints have run the 7th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 57.6 plays per game.
The New Orleans Saints have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to result in reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game performance when facing windier conditions in this game.
The Minnesota Vikings have intercepted 0.99 passes per game since the start of last season, grading out as the 7th-best defense in the NFL by this standard.
The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on just 2.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.
The New Orleans Saints have gone for it on 4th down a measly 14.3% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league), which typically means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.