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Andy Dalton

Andy Dalton Completions
Player Prop Week 4

Carolina Panthers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Andy Dalton Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-160/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ +125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of an emphasis on throwing than their typical game plan.

The Carolina Panthers have called the 6th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 60.0 plays per game.

Andy Dalton's 65.9% Adjusted Completion% this year represents a significant progression in his throwing accuracy over last year's 56.2% mark.

Since the start of last season, the anemic Bengals defense has been gouged for a massive 72.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 6th-largest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 8th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (57.6% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Carolina Panthers.

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Carolina Panthers are expected by our trusted projection set to call just 61.3 total plays in this contest: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.

Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Bengals, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 31.7 per game) since the start of last season.

In regards to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Panthers grades out as the worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

The Bengals linebackers project as the 4th-best group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in defending receivers.

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