Amon-Ra St. Brown Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+134/-161).
Key Factors
Favors Over
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 132.6 offensive plays called: the 2nd-most among all games this week.
The Detroit Lions have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 61.7 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
With an extraordinary 34.0% Red Zone Target% (98th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown places among the wideouts with the highest volume near the end zone in the NFL.
Amon-Ra St. Brown has totaled quite a few more air yards this season (99.0 per game) than he did last season (85.0 per game).
Favors Under
The Lions are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a running game script.
Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Minnesota Vikings, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.3 per game) this year.
This year, the tough Vikings defense has allowed a meager 56.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the lowest rate in the league.
The Vikings defense has yielded the 3rd-fewest receiving TDs in the NFL to wideouts: 0.50 per game this year.
When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Minnesota's CB corps has been terrific this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in football.