Amon-Ra St. Brown Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 5

My Account Log Out

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

Amon-Ra St. Brown

NFL · Player Props

Amon-Ra St. Brown

WR · Detroit Lions

Touchdowns

Arizona Cardinals vs Detroit Lions · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 11, 2026 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

Amon-Ra St. Brown Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-122/+114).

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 61.7% rate of passing the ball near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year, the 8th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL in this respect has been the Detroit Lions.
The predictive model expects this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 134.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 3rd-most plays in football have been called by the Lions this year (a colossal 62.5 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
With a high 35.3% Red Zone Target Share (99th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown rates as one of the wideouts with the highest volume near the goal line in the NFL.

Favors Under

A rushing game script is indicated by the Lions being a 5.5-point favorite this week.
Opposing QBs teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Cardinals, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 28.0 per game) this year.
Amon-Ra St. Brown's 66.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 77.1.
The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has conceded the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (61.9%) to wide receivers since the start of last season (61.9%).

More Amon-Ra St. Brown Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow