Amon-Ra St. Brown Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-108/+106).
Key Factors
Favors Over
Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.59 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
With an elite 42.9% Red Zone Target Rate (96th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown rates among the wide receivers with the highest volume near the goal line in the league.
In regards to air yards, Amon-Ra St. Brown ranks in the towering 90th percentile among WRs since the start of last season, totaling a staggering 88.0 per game.
Amon-Ra St. Brown's 77.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the league leaders: 99th percentile for wideouts.
Favors Under
With a 6.5-point advantage, the Lions are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on running than their standard game plan.
In regards to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Lions profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the porous Jets run defense has allowed a whopping 1.05 TDs on the ground per game to the opposing side: the 9th-highest rate in the league.