Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Amon-Ra St. Brown

WR · Detroit Lions

Receptions

Detroit Lions vs New York Jets · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 25, 2026 4:13 PM EST

Analysis

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-131/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.59 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
This week, Amon-Ra St. Brown is projected by the projections to find himself in the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 11.0 targets.
Amon-Ra St. Brown has been a big part of his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 33.3% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
Amon-Ra St. Brown rates as one of the leading WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging a remarkable 6.5 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 99th percentile.

Favors Under

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Lions are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on running than their standard game plan.
In regards to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Lions profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.
The Jets cornerbacks rank as the 6th-best collection of CBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.