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Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Detroit Lions to call the 3rd-most total plays on the slate this week with 68.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

In this week's game, Amon-Ra St. Brown is forecasted by the projections to land in the 95th percentile among wide receivers with 9.3 targets.

Amon-Ra St. Brown has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 27.4% this year, which places him in the 95th percentile among wide receivers.

Amon-Ra St. Brown rates as one of the best possession receivers in the league, completing an excellent 77.3% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Lions to pass on 53.0% of their downs: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The 8th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a lowly 55.4 per game on average).

Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being called for in this game) generally mean decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and higher ground volume.

Amon-Ra St. Brown's play as a receiver has tailed off this season, compiling a mere 5.7 adjusted receptions vs 7.4 last season.

The Packers pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (60.3%) to wideouts this year (60.3%).

More Amon-Ra St. Brown Player Props

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